Imunidade de rebanho ao coronavírus, quando chegaremos lá?

Imunidade de rebanho ao coronavírus, quando chegaremos lá?

Imunidade de rebanho ao coronavírus, quando chegaremos lá?

O mundo não será como antes após o período da pandemia pelo Covid 19. Mas quando será que tudo isso acabará? Será que estamos próximos da imunidade rebanho?

Não há dúvidas que sairemos muito machucados, principalmente no âmbito psicológico desse momento, mas também já estamos evoluindo no tangente ao convívio social, nossas relações passaram a ser valorizadas por nossas essências, por nossos princípios e não mais por relacionamentos superficiais que ocorriam antes.

No dia 29 de maio, o Brasil passou a faixa de 450mil casos, mas apesar disso o aumento relativo foi de aproximadamente 41% (o que vem diminuindo ao longo dos meses), com uma taxa de letalidade de 6% e estima-se que na primeira quinzena de julho estaremos com mais de 1 milhão de casos.

O coronavírus ainda tem um longo caminho a percorrer. Ainda não temos certeza da quantidade de pessoas que forma infectadas por causa da subnotificação, mas mesmo que o número seja 10 a 15 vezes maior ao que está sendo divulgado, ainda assim estamos muito aquém de atingir a imunidade rebanho.

E o que vem a ser imunidade rebanho? Essa é uma expressão utilizada para as campanhas de vacinas na qual se consegue bloquear a circulação de um vírus e isso ocorre quando existe uma cobertura vacinal de 95% de uma população.

E no mundo atual, que percentagem da população precisa ter adquirido a doença COVID 19 e estar presumivelmente imunizado para que a doença deixe de ocorrer e as pessoas não mais se infectarem?

Não existe uma resposta para a COVID 19, mas estima-se que 60 a 80% tem que adquirir a doença para que o vírus morra e pare de circular. A quantidade de pessoas que continuam infectados ainda é muito baixa e estima-se que ainda esteja abaixo de 1%. Mesmo em algumas das cidades mais atingidas do mundo, sugerem os estudos, a grande maioria das pessoas ainda permanece vulnerável ao vírus.

Atualmente, onde a maioria das pessoas é susceptível a doença, se você está infectado com o vírus e entra em uma sala onde todos são suscetíveis a ele, você pode infectar duas ou três outras pessoas em média. Por outro lado, se você entrar em uma sala e três em cada quatro pessoas já estiverem imunes, em média você infectará uma pessoa ou menos naquela sala. Essa pessoa, por sua vez, seria capaz de infectar menos pessoas novas também. E isso torna muito menos provável que um grande surto possa florescer.

Alguns estudos mostram que é improvável que a proteção da imunidade do rebanho seja alcançada “em breve”, mas um nível mais baixo de imunidade na população pode retardar um pouco a propagação de uma doença e o número de imunidade do rebanho representa o ponto em que as infecções têm uma probabilidade substancialmente menor de se transformar em grandes surtos.

A figura acima mostra uma estimativa e pode superestimar como a infecção por Covid 19 está baixa, mas nos dá uma perspectiva de como, mesmo nos locais onde o número de infectados foi grande, em termos populacional esse número ainda é pequeno.

Todas as estimativas de imunidade do rebanho pressupõem que uma infecção passada proteja as pessoas de ficarem doentes pela segunda vez. Há evidências sugestivas de que as pessoas alcançam imunidade ao coronavírus, mas ainda não está certo se isso é verdade em todos os casos; quão robusta a imunidade pode ser; ou quanto tempo vai durar.

Doenças como sarampo e varicela, que antes eram muito comuns entre crianças, agora são extremamente raras, porque as vacinas ajudaram a criar imunidade suficiente para conter surtos. Não temos uma vacina contra o coronavírus, portanto, obter a imunidade sem um tratamento novo e mais eficaz pode significar muito mais infecções e muito mais mortes.

Portanto ainda temos um longo caminho a percorrer e todas as precauções devem continuar sendo tomadas e até que se consiga uma vacina efetiva para o COVID 19 várias pessoas ainda irão se infectar, muitas irão ter sintomas leves, algumas, sintomas mais graves e outra morrerão, portanto todo cuidado é pouco. Manter as medidas de precaução para não adoecer ainda são fundamentais!

Este post tem 121 comentários

  1. boabySwolla

    diamond cbd [url=https://cbdgummiesio.com/ ]nuleaf naturals [/url] cbd pain cream cbd oil amazon

  2. 720p

    If you wish for to improve your experience simply keep visiting this site and be updated with the most recent information posted here. Janot Gaspar Ludlow

  3. Hi there, just became alert to your blog through Google, and found
    that it is truly informative. I am gonna watch out for brussels.

    I will appreciate if you continue this in future. Lots of people will be benefited from your writing.
    Cheers!

  4. filmkovasi

    Hiya, I am really glad I have found this information. Today bloggers publish just about gossip and web stuff and this is really annoying. A good site with exciting content, that is what I need. Thank you for making this web site, and I will be visiting again. Do you do newsletters by email? Dorian Ross Zicarelli

  5. bollywood

    Awesome issues here. I am very glad to peer your post. Louise Cecilio Lynelle

  6. yabanci

    You have some really pretty ones! I love the little paperclip bookmarks, and the ones that appear to be metal with cut-out patterns are gorgeous. I need those! Nissa Dugald Tia

  7. Alica Chism

    This is a very interesting article. Please, share more like this!

  8. I’d like to find out more? I’d care to find out some additional information.

  9. movie online

    Good article. I absolutely appreciate this site. Keep it up! Clare Domenico Janela

  10. online

    Have you ever considered publishing an ebook or guest authoring on other sites? I have a blog based upon on the same subjects you discuss and would love to have you share some stories/information. I know my readers would enjoy your work. If you are even remotely interested, feel free to send me an e-mail. Lauryn Boonie Annmarie

  11. movies

    Having read this I thought it was extremely enlightening. I appreciate you spending some time and effort to put this informative article together. I once again find myself personally spending a significant amount of time both reading and leaving comments. But so what, it was still worthwhile! Felice Horten Locklin

  12. I used to be recommended this website by means of my cousin. I’m no longer sure whether this put up
    is written by means of him as nobody else understand such particular approximately my difficulty.
    You’re amazing! Thank you!

  13. yabanci

    After looking over a few of the articles on your website, I truly appreciate your technique of writing a blog. I saved as a favorite it to my bookmark webpage list and will be checking back soon. Take a look at my web site too and let me know what you think. Kendre Kelly Liew

  14. With havin so much written content do you ever run into any issues of plagorism or copyright violation? My website has a lot of unique content I’ve either written myself or outsourced but it seems
    a lot of it is popping it up all over the internet without
    my agreement. Do you know any methods to help protect against content from being stolen? I’d certainly appreciate it.

  15. Great weblog right here! Additionally your web site lots up very fast!
    What web host are you the use of? Can I am getting your associate hyperlink to your host?
    I want my site loaded up as quickly as yours lol

  16. takip2018

    I have been browsing online more than three hours lately, yet I never discovered any attention-grabbing article like yours.
    It’s beautiful value sufficient for me. In my opinion, if
    all site owners and bloggers made excellent content
    material as you did, the web can be much more useful than ever before.

  17. bedava

    great points altogether, you just gained a new reader. What would you suggest about your put up that you just made a few days ago? Any positive? Etheline Gael Jensen

  18. movie online

    Your style is so unique compared to other folks I have read stuff from. I appreciate you for posting when you have the opportunity, Guess I will just book mark this web site. Allison Guy Nicki

  19. 720p

    I like it whenever people get together and share opinions. Great website, keep it up! Ruby Nevile Danika

  20. turkce

    This information is invaluable. When can I find out more? Jeana Jules Rene

  21. turkce

    Hi! This is my 1st comment here so I just wanted to give a quick shout out and tell you I truly enjoy reading through your blog posts. Can you suggest any other blogs/websites/forums that cover the same subjects? Thanks for your time!| Vera Alfonso Dagney

  22. turkce

    I am glad that I discovered this site, precisely the right info that I was looking for! Queenie Gino Olwena

  23. turkce

    Have you ever thought about adding a little bit more than just your articles? Sue Manfred Lavinia

  24. turkce

    Outstanding quest there. What happened after? Take care!| Fulvia Tanner Coates

  25. turkce

    Everything is very open with a precise explanation of the issues. It was definitely informative. Your website is very useful. Thank you for sharing! Meara Lauren Margarida

  26. turkce

    I have hear about 25 which is tomorrow for final list to be out Lari Chariot Gillian

  27. Coossyponex

    fast loan [url=http://paydayloanssfs.com/# ]payday loan near me [/url] guaranteed payday loan cash payday loan

  28. erotik

    This is not like one of those spam messages. It is all about your need. You need to cure your hepes, buy viagra or have a great sex toy. Use our service and you will be in good hands Noell Wallis Carline

  29. flove

    Топовое порево от именитых порно-студий и режиссеров к вашим услугам.
    Заверяем, что все ролики постановочные и участвуют в нем исключительно профессиональные актеры и актрисы, снимающие порно видео с соблюдением всех норм безопасности.
    Исключением являются домашние и любительские материалы от реальных людей, кто любит показывать в сети интимные страсти в постели. Лицезреть секс полезно как девушкам, так и парням. Наслаждайся порно онлайн на [url=https://checkporno.pro]ЧекПорно[/url] , изучая новые позиции в любовном искусстве, чтобы в будущем поразить партнера супер трахом.

    Заходи к нам на порно сайт ЧекПорно: checkporno.pro и наслаждайся!

  30. I think what you said made a lot of sense. However, what about this?
    what if you wrote a catchier post title?
    I am not saying your information isn’t good.,
    but suppose you added a post title to possibly grab folk’s attention? I mean Imunidade de rebanho ao coronavírus, quando chegaremos lá?
    | Blog Cliampe is kinda vanilla. You could peek at Yahoo’s home page and see how they create article headlines to grab people to open the
    links. You might try adding a video or a picture or two to get readers interested about
    everything’ve written. In my opinion, it would bring
    your posts a little livelier.

  31. RoyalCBD

    zH7VrM Im thankful for the article post.Really thank you! Cool.

  32. Today, with the fast lifestyle that everyone leads, credit cards have a huge demand in the economy. Persons from every field are using the credit card and people who are not using the card have lined up to apply for one. Thanks for sharing your ideas on credit cards. https://varicoseveinsmedi.com varicose veins pain

  33. errordbeiff

    Many users asked us How To Download videos from any site free online?
    We have answer!!

    [url=https://www.intensedebate.com/people/fastfromyoutube]https://www.intensedebate.com/people/fastfromyoutube[/url]
    [url=https://doodleordie.com/profile/fastfrom-youtube]https://doodleordie.com/profile/fastfrom-youtube[/url]
    [url=https://www.flicks.co.nz/member/fastfrom-instagram/]https://www.flicks.co.nz/member/fastfrom-instagram/[/url]
    [url=https://myblogu.com/pprofile/fastfrom]https://myblogu.com/pprofile/fastfrom[/url]
    [url=https://www.folkd.com/user/fastfromtwitterdownloader]https://www.folkd.com/user/fastfromtwitterdownloader[/url]
    [url=https://buddypress.org/members/fastfrom/profile/]https://buddypress.org/members/fastfrom/profile/[/url]
    [url=https://www.turnkeylinux.org/user/1437216]https://www.turnkeylinux.org/user/1437216[/url]
    [url=https://www.ted.com/profiles/26338886]https://www.ted.com/profiles/26338886[/url]
    [url=https://www.openstreetmap.org/user/Bekker_1]https://www.openstreetmap.org/user/Bekker_1[/url]
    [url=https://www.kickstarter.com/profile/1110072683/about]https://www.kickstarter.com/profile/1110072683/about[/url]
    [url=https://finexam.ru/forum/user/118527/]https://finexam.ru/forum/user/118527/[/url]
    [url=https://www.deviantart.com/fastfrom/about]https://www.deviantart.com/fastfrom/about[/url]
    [url=https://www.producthunt.com/@fastfrom]https://www.producthunt.com/@fastfrom[/url]
    [url=https://gold10.ru/forum/messages/forum16/topic6636/message31156/#message31156]https://gold10.ru/forum/messages/forum16/topic6636/message31156/#message31156[/url]
    [url=http://www.authorstream.com/Fastfrom/]http://www.authorstream.com/Fastfrom/[/url]
    [url=https://qiita.com/fastfrom]https://qiita.com/fastfrom[/url]
    [url=http://e-regata.com/rus/forum/?PAGE_NAME=profile_view&UID=23145]http://e-regata.com/rus/forum/?PAGE_NAME=profile_view&UID=23145[/url]
    [url=http://tonb.ru/services/forum/?PAGE_NAME=profile_view&UID=18506]http://tonb.ru/services/forum/?PAGE_NAME=profile_view&UID=18506[/url]
    [url=http://ttlink.com/albert11]http://ttlink.com/albert11[/url]
    [url=http://www.globalvision2000.com/forum/member.php?action=profile&uid=186361]http://www.globalvision2000.com/forum/member.php?action=profile&uid=186361[/url]
    [url=https://dev.1c-bitrix.ru/community/webdev/user/5032484/]https://dev.1c-bitrix.ru/community/webdev/user/5032484/[/url]
    [url=https://www.mixcloud.com/DJ_mopson/]https://www.mixcloud.com/DJ_mopson/[/url]
    [url=https://sikhyourmind.com/forum/profile/abraham089/]https://sikhyourmind.com/forum/profile/abraham089/[/url]
    [url=https://www.goodreads.com/user/show/130631579-jeniffer]https://www.goodreads.com/user/show/130631579-jeniffer[/url]
    [url=https://www.csi.edu.au/profile/Krish07/]https://www.csi.edu.au/profile/Krish07/[/url]
    [url=https://muckrack.com/andry-robertson]https://muckrack.com/andry-robertson[/url]
    [url=https://dribbble.com/tamerlan11/about]https://dribbble.com/tamerlan11/about[/url]
    [url=https://community.fandom.com/wiki/User:Josepsina]https://community.fandom.com/wiki/User:Josepsina[/url]
    [url=https://listswapper.com/author/ramos223/]https://listswapper.com/author/ramos223/[/url]
    [url=https://logos.fandom.com/wiki/FastFrom.com]https://logos.fandom.com/wiki/FastFrom.com[/url]
    [url=https://hero.osclass.me/user/profile/320678]https://hero.osclass.me/user/profile/320678[/url]
    [url=https://myspace.com/tamerlan23]https://myspace.com/tamerlan23[/url]
    [url=https://anotepad.com/note/read/hje565xf]https://anotepad.com/note/read/hje565xf[/url]
    [url=https://profile.hatena.ne.jp/fastfrom/]https://profile.hatena.ne.jp/fastfrom/[/url]
    [url=https://issuu.com/fastfrom.com]https://issuu.com/fastfrom.com[/url]
    [url=https://www.buymeacoffee.com/fastfrom/]https://www.buymeacoffee.com/fastfrom/[/url]

  34. Arnold Ihrke

    I am commenting to be able to help you to recognize what a terrific expertise my daughter enjoyed looking at through your on series page. She noticed lots of pieces, with the add-on of what it is definitely like to have the awesome helping style to be able to have the rest with out hassle grasp some difficult matters.

Deixe uma resposta